With no matches from those in the bottom half of the T100, I have shown just the top half below. The T50? Their ratings & ranks given the 11 matches played this week have been updated. (BLUE-Elite 8 teams remaining & RED-Bid Teams having lost in the last 48 hours) These ratings plus the formula offered on March 16th’s T100 post, together with a little thing called “Bayes Theorem” makes what is seen below happen.
*Carthage a Regional Host 5th Seed
16(19) Nichols was an actual #16 seed according to the NPI but having defeated the #14 seed and then the #3 seed imply they were placed on the #19 seed line of the original bracket.
Note: The reason NYU is at 53% on the table under the CH header is because it apportions all probabilities to add up to 200%, but on the bracket, it says 54% because it rounds probabilities. (Two teams meet in a championship match so it must add up to 200%.) This is why the 4 teams on the top side of the bracket vying to earn a finals appearance add up to 101% when common sense tells us they can’t. (Like when athletes and coaches will often tell you they gave 110% in describing their win in a post-game interview! LOL)
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