Subtracting rating points between opponents yields a forecasted set score difference. i.e. For a team rated 14.5 and another 12.5, the expectation would be for the stronger to win a set by 2 points on a neutral court. Home court adds a quarter point and the away court subtracts a quarter point. In this example, the higher ranked team at home is a 2.5 point forecasted set favorite, producing an 84% likelihood to win a 3 out of 5 match played between them. (Roughly 72%, if playing away makes the delta 1.5, instead. – See table below.)
| Delta Point Diff. | 0 | .6 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 7.0 |
| P(Win) % | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 99+% |
The new column called P(NB) is the probability for the team to secure a National Bid. There are 3 ways this can happen, each team is subject to 2 of these 3. FIRST – An automatic bid from winning a conference tournament (AQ Bids = 11); SECOND – Being selected from the pool of teams not eligible to earn an AQ. (Bids = 3) This group includes independents & teams from conferences not having been given AQ status just yet. THIRD – At large bids are selected from the remaining teams not to qualify by either of the first two. (AL Bids = 2)
| RANK | TEAM | CONF | RATING | REG | P(NB) |
| 1 | Wentworth | GNAC | 17.68 | 1 | 99.0% |
| 2 | Stevens | MAC | 17.49 | 3 | 98.6% |
| 3 | Southern Va. | CVC | 17.33 | 3 | 66.0% |
| 4 | Vassar | UVC | 17.12 | 2 | 54.0% |
| 5 | Springfield | IND | 17.10 | 1 | 99.5% |
| 6 | Cal Lutheran | IND | 16.74 | 4 | 99.5% |
| 7 | St. John Fisher | UVC | 16.53 | 2 | 40.0% |
| 8 | Loras | CCIW | 16.35 | 4 | 50.4% |
| 9 | Carthage | CCIW | 15.98 | 4 | 49.5% |
| 10 | North Central (IL) | CCIW | 15.80 | 4 | 47.4% |
| 11 | Nazareth | UVC | 15.79 | 2 | 25.0% |
| 12 | Juniata | CVC | 15.62 | 3 | 33.0% |
| 13 | NYU | UVC | 15.43 | 2 | 22.0% |
| 14 | Marymount (VA) | CVC | 15.40 | 3 | 21.0% |
| 15 | Dominican (IL) | NAAC | 14.80 | 4 | 47.0% |
| 16 | Nichols | NEVC | 14.68 | 1 | 58.0% |
| 17 | Benedictine (IL) | NAAC | 14.60 | 4 | 41.0% |
| 18 | Messiah | MAC | 14.45 | 3 | 6.4% |
| 19 | Misericordia | MAC | 14.43 | 3 | 5.2% |
| 20 | Randolph-Macon | CVC | 14.13 | 3 | 15.0% |
| 21 | Baldwin Wallace | MCVL | 13.90 | 4 | 48.0% |
| 22 | MIT | UVC | 13.85 | 2 | 13.0% |
| 23 | Lasell | GNAC | 13.69 | 1 | 8.0% |
| 24 | UC Santa Cruz | IND | 13.68 | 4 | 32.0% |
| 25 | SUNY New Paltz | UVC | 13.64 | 2 | 12.5% |
| 26 | St. Joseph’s (L.I.) | SKY | 13.59 | 2 | 90.0% |
| 27 | Hobart | UVC | 13.52 | 2 | 3.0% |
| 28 | Rutgers-Newark | CVC | 13.46 | 3 | 7.5% |
| 29 | Aurora | NAAC | 13.10 | 4 | 15.0% |
| 30 | Mount Union | MCVL | 13.01 | 4 | 36.0% |
| 31 | Lancaster Bible | UEAST | 12.59 | 2 | 99.1% |
| 32 | Ill. Wesleyan | CCIW | 12.50 | 4 | 1.5% |
| 33 | MSOE | NAAC | 12.48 | 4 | 5.0% |
| 34 | Endicott | NEVC | 12.43 | 1 | 10.0% |
| 35 | IIT | NAAC | 12.40 | 4 | 4.0% |
| 36 | Hunter | CUNY | 12.39 | 1 | 66.0% |
| 37 | Augustana (IL) | CCIW | 12.24 | 4 | 1.1% |
| 38 | Stevenson | MAC | 12.20 | 3 | 0.5% |
| 39 | Concordia Wisconsin | NAAC | 12.15 | 4 | 1.5% |
| 40 | Marian (WI) | NAAC | 12.12 | 4 | 1.0% |
| 41 | Rivier | GNAC | 12.07 | 1 | 1.2% |
| 42 | Kean | CVC | 11.94 | 3 | 1.0% |
| 43 | Arcadia | MAC | 11.71 | 3 | 0.2% |
| 44 | East. Mennonite | CVC | 11.60 | 3 | 1.0% |
| 45 | Emmanuel (MA) | GNAC | 11.60 | 1 | 0.7% |
| 46 | Trine | MCVL | 11.44 | 4 | 7.0% |
| 47 | Adrian | MCVL | 11.40 | 4 | 7.0% |
| 48 | Elmira | UVC | 11.22 | 2 | 0.5% |
| 49 | Wittenberg | MCVL | 10.91 | 4 | 1.0% |
| 50 | Eastern Nazarene | NEVC | 10.90 | 1 | 0.2% |
| 51 | Wabash | MCVL | 10.85 | 4 | 0.5% |
| 52 | Baruch | CUNY | 10.85 | 1 | 32.0% |
| 53 | Roanoke | CVC | 10.76 | 3 | 0.3% |
| 54 | Ramapo | SKY | 10.73 | 2 | 6.0% |
| 55 | Elizabethtown | CVC | 10.27 | 3 | 0.2% |
| 56 | New Jersey City | SKY | 10.24 | 2 | 4.0% |
| 57 | Hiram | AMCC | 10.23 | 3 | 22.0% |
| 58 | Fontbonne | MCVL | 10.16 | 4 | 0.5% |
| 59 | Wilkes | IND | 10.02 | 2 | 0.1% |
| 60 | North Park | CCIW | 10.02 | 4 | 0.1% |
| 61 | St. Norbert | NAAC | 10.00 | 4 | 0.3% |
| 62 | Penn St.-Behrend | AMCC | 9.89 | 3 | 21.0% |
| 63 | SUNY Potsdam | NEVC | 9.87 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 64 | SUNY Poly | NEVC | 9.83 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 65 | Regis (MA) | GNAC | 9.78 | 1 | 0.1% |
| 66 | Concordia Chicago | NAAC | 9.76 | 4 | 0.1% |
| 67 | Widener | MAC | 9.73 | 3 | 0.0% |
| 68 | Edgewood | NAAC | 9.70 | 4 | 0.1% |
| 69 | Wis.-Stevens Point | IND | 9.68 | 4 | 0.3% |
| 70 | Emerson | GNAC | 9.62 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 71 | King’s (PA) | MAC | 9.58 | 3 | 0.0% |
| 72 | CCNY | CUNY | 9.50 | 1 | 1.9% |
| 73 | Thiel | AMCC | 9.37 | 3 | 16.0% |
| 74 | Lakeland | NAAC | 9.28 | 4 | 0.0% |
| 75 | Mt. St. Joseph | MCVL | 9.27 | 4 | 0.0% |
| 76 | Olivet | MCVL | 9.17 | 4 | 0.0% |
| 77 | Drew | IND | 9.05 | 2 | 0.1% |
| 78 | Va. Wesleyan | IND | 9.04 | 3 | 0.2% |
| 79 | Geneva | AMCC | 9.02 | 3 | 13.0% |
| 80 | Penn St.-Altoona | AMCC | 8.98 | 3 | 12.0% |
| 81 | Buffalo St. | IND | 8.76 | 2 | 0.2% |
| 82 | Eastern | MAC | 8.60 | 3 | 0.0% |
| 83 | Saint Vincent | AMCC | 8.48 | 3 | 8.0% |
| 84 | Hilbert | AMCC | 8.47 | 3 | 7.7% |
| 85 | Simpson | IND | 8.37 | 4 | 0.0% |
| 86 | Calvin | MCVL | 7.92 | 4 | 0.0% |
| 87 | Cairn | UEAST | 7.84 | 2 | 0.7% |
| 88 | Rockford | NAAC | 7.66 | 4 | 0.0% |
| 89 | Elms | GNAC | 7.59 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 90 | Immaculata | IND | 7.55 | 2 | 0.0% |
| 91 | John Jay | CUNY | 7.50 | 1 | 0.1% |
| 92 | Bard | NEVC | 7.44 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 93 | Wis. Lutheran | NAAC | 7.42 | 4 | 0.0% |
| 94 | Wilson | UEAST | 7.10 | 2 | 0.2% |
| 95 | CMSV | SKY | 7.00 | 2 | 0.0% |
| 96 | Chatham | IND | 6.86 | 3 | 0.0% |
| 97 | Mount Aloysius | AMCC | 6.85 | 3 | 0.2% |
| 98 | Wells | AMCC | 6.58 | 3 | 0.1% |
| 99 | Brooklyn | CUNY | 6.39 | 1 | 0.0% |
| 100 | Purchase | SKY | 6.26 | 2 | 0.0% |